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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2026-04-23T05:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2026-04-23T05:12Z
DONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/45789/-1
CME Note: CME whose bulk is seen to the northeast with wider shock seen to due east in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, GOES CCOR-1, and STEREO A COR2 coronagraphs in association with a long duration M1.2 class solar flare from AR4420 near N16E40. The EUV signature is characterized by a circular EUV wave and dimming signature during the eruption seen best in SDO AIA 193 and GOES SUVI 284.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2026-04-25T19:28Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-04-26T07:52Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 41.5%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.
Lead Time: -41.72 hour(s)
Difference: -12.40 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-04-27T13:11Z
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